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Initial 2007 Fantasy Baseball Projections

Posted by on Sunday, January 14, 2007 (EST)

This is the list of players that I modified to make my initial set of projections for the 2007 season. My projections are updated every two weeks until the end of the season based on spring training information and transactions.

Date

Player

Notes

1/14/2007

Abreu, Bobby

A full year in NY could give Abreu some upside.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Alou, Moises

Alou can still hit, when he is healthy.  I'm not sure why the NYM added Alou with Milledge waiting in the wings.  His actual stats from 2006 look like a good place to start in 2007, although I won't draft him unless he slides a few rounds.

1/14/2007

Arroyo, Bronson

Arroyo loves coming to NL in 2006.  Use 2 yr avg, since NL hitters won't be fooled as much in 2007

1/14/2007

Astacio, Ezequiel

Project 160 IP

1/14/2007

Atkins, Garrett

At 27 with 4 years of experience under his belt, 2006 may be a indicator of bigger and better things to come.  No one expected his power to improve so much last year, so he was a late round difference maker for many teams. Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Aurilia, Rich

At the age of 35, moving back to SF from CIN is not going to help him repeat his great 2006.  Use 2 yr numbers as the baseline for 2007 and revisit these projections after spring training.

1/14/2007

Bagwell, Jeff

Retired

1/14/2007

Baker, Jeff

Atkins career year in 2006 has forced COL to decide if they want to change Baker's position.  Project 325 AB

1/14/2007

Baker, Scott

Should see 150 IP as 5th starter for MIN

1/14/2007

Baldelli, Rocco

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Bard, Josh

With Piazza gone, he'll likely get 350 AB

1/14/2007

Barfield, Joshua

Barfield has a lot of upside with a move to CLE.  Project 580 AB

1/14/2007

Barrett, Michael

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Bartlett, Jason

Should see 450 AB in 2007

1/14/2007

Bay, Jason

Jason Bay is hitting his prime years.  Project 600 AB, .295 BA, 39 HR, and 13 SB.

1/14/2007

Beckett, Josh

Beckett had a solid season in 2006, but his ERA predictably rose in his move to the AL.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Bedard, Erik

Bedard could get another win or two, if he gets 220 IP

1/14/2007

Beltran, Carlos

With the current talent on the NYM, there is no reason why Beltran cannot reproduce his numbers from 2006.

1/14/2007

Beltre, Adrian

At 28, Beltre still could post big numbers.  I think his 2006 numbers are a good start.  Maybe I'll see something during spring training to warrant making some sort of adjustment.

1/14/2007

Benitez, Armando

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Berkman, Lance

Berkman is coming off a career year in 2006, and the addition of Carlos Lee should keep him an All-Star.  Using 3 yr avg for HR(33) and BA(.308) since his t\past trend is to drop about 10 HR after a 40 HR season.

1/14/2007

Betemit, Wilson

Slotted to be the starting 3B in 2007, expect Betemit to get 550 AB

1/14/2007

Biggio, Craig

Biggio still has some power, but his BA may  hurt you.  Use 2006 Actuals

1/14/2007

Blake, Casey

With Marte in the mix, Blake will see less time.  Reduce HR to 14, R to 53, RBI to 58, and BA to .272

1/14/2007

Blanton, Joe

With Zito gone, the rest of the Oakland staff will have more pressure on them.  Use 2yr avg

1/14/2007

Bonderman, Jeremy

Bonderman keeps improving with age.  At 24, he has a great future if he continues to improve.  Project 230 IP for 2007

1/14/2007

Bonds, Barry

At his age, Bonds is merely playing so that he can become the temporary HR king.  Look for AROD and/or Pujols to pass him.  Set his HR total to 22 (the amount eeded for the record) and expect him to retire.

1/14/2007

Bonser, B

Project 180 IP as MIN 2nd starter

1/14/2007

Borowski, Joe

No longer a closer. Set Saves to 10 for 2007

1/14/2007

Botts, Jason

Project 500 AB

1/14/2007

Broussard, Ben

He'll get his 400 AB and put up his usual numbers.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Broxton, Jonathan

Potential Closer Candidate, If Saito Flaters.  Set to 10 Saves

1/14/2007

Buchholz, Taylor

Use 170 IP for 2007 projections.  Do not lower his ERA, since he is going to Coors.

1/14/2007

Buehrle, Mark

With the pressure off, Buehrle should return to his past form. Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Burke, Chris

Should get 550 AB as starting CF for HOU

1/14/2007

Burnett, AJ

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Burrell, Pat

At 31, it's safe to say that Burrell's career has been a disappointment to fantasy owners and Phillies fans.  Use his 2 yr avg and keep him at his current plateau

1/14/2007

Bush, Dave

He is in his prime age, and the Brewers have a decent offense.  Use 2006 for now

1/14/2007

Byrnes, Eric

At 31, there is no guessing if Byrnes will duplicate his 2006 numbers, or revert back to his 2005 form.  Use 3 yr avg to make your initial 2007 projections, and watch how the spring unfolds for Arizona.

1/14/2007

Cabrera, Daniel

Project 180 IP for this talented strikeout pitcher in 2007

1/14/2007

Cabrera, Miguel

At 24, Cabrera could be the next Albert Pujols.  Use his 2 yr avg stats, but boost his HR total to 35

1/14/2007

Cabrera, Orlando

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Cain, Matt

Everyone loves Matt Cain and his stuff.  The addition of Zito will help keep the pressure off of him.  Project 210 IP

1/14/2007

Cameron, Mike

Mike Cameron stayed healthy in 2006, and he had his usual 20-20 type season.  Noreason to see his stats to change much in 2007.

1/14/2007

Cano, Robinson

Cano has a lot of upside.  Use 2 yr avg to start 2007

1/14/2007

Cantu, Jorge

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Capuano, Chris

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Carpenter, Chris

Carpenter is a top NL pitcher, but he has some risk.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Castillo, Luis

Use 2006 actuals for now

1/14/2007

Castro, Juan

Should see 400 AB in super utility role

1/14/2007

Chavez, Endy

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Cirillo, Jeff

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Clemens, Roger

Will he return in 2007?  Your guess is as good as mine.

1/14/2007

Coffey, Todd

Coffey gets another chance to e the man in CIN. Project 30 SV

1/14/2007

Contreras, Jose

Contreras will likely decline in 2007.  Project 180 IP

1/14/2007

Corcoran, Tim

Project 160 IP

1/14/2007

Cordero, Chad

Will Cordero return to elite form in 2007?  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Cordero, Francisco

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Coste, C

With Lieberthal gone, Coste should get 450 AB in 2007

1/14/2007

Crawford, Carl

Crawford is entering his prime age, but don't expect a power explosion.  His 2 yr avg will probably be accurate with some modest upside potential in runs scored and batting average

1/14/2007

Crede, Joe

Crede had his career year in 2006. He will likely be overrated by several forecasters this year.  He has burned me too often in the past, so I'll use his 2 yr avg to project his 2007 campaign

1/14/2007

Crisp, Coco

Crisp has huge upside if he can stay healthy.  Project 600 AB at 2006 pace.

1/14/2007

Cruz, Nelson

Project 500 AB

1/14/2007

Cuddyer, Michael

Cuddyear had a career year in 2006, making him another one of those late round 3B draft bargains that were available last year.    I'll be more conservative with his 2007 numbers, R(85), RBI(90), HR(20)

1/14/2007

Damon, Johnny

At 34, Damon is likely to slow down a little.  Use 3 yr avg for 2007 projections

1/14/2007

Davis, Doug

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

de la Rosa, Tomas

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Delgado, Carlos

At 35 Carlos Delgado won't improvemuch.  Use his 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Dellucci, David

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Diaz, Mario

Project 350 AB

1/14/2007

Drew, JD

Drew has always been hampered by injuries, so the potential boost to his performance gained by moving BOS may get canceled out by an injury or two.

1/14/2007

Drew, Stephen

Should see 500 AB in 2007

1/14/2007

Duffy, Chris

If PIT decides to stick with him for 550 AB, then he could get 45 SB

1/14/2007

Duke, Zach

Look for Duke to improve his ERA to 4.186 and add another win in 2007

1/14/2007

Duncan, Chris

Duncan is unlikely to reproduce his 2006 pace.  He will likely get 500 AB in 2007, but don't expect 35+ HR.  He got very hot at the end of 2006 with 18 Homeruns after the All-Star break.  Until spring training arrives, I'll use his 2006 actual stats

1/14/2007

Dunn, Adam

At 28, Adam Dunn is in his prime.  With his high walk totals (334 in last 3 years), I keep expecting him to improve his BA, but he never does.  Using his 2 yr avg for BA(.241) and bumping his HR to 44.

1/14/2007

Durham, Ray

At 36, Durham had a career year.  Makes you wonder if he trained with Barry Bonds last year.  Be happy is he can hit his 3 yr avg in 2007.

1/14/2007

Dye, Jermaine

No doubt Dye had his career year in 2006.    Use his 2 yr avg for all categories to bring him back down to earth.

1/14/2007

Edmonds, Jim

Edmonds is on the decline.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Ensberg, Morgan

Morgan Ensberg was one of the few 3B in 2006 that disappointed owners.  He'll likely start 2007 as the starting 3B for HOU, but he'll have a short leash.  Use 3 yr avg for this enigma!

1/14/2007

Escobar, Alex

Project 350 AB

1/14/2007

Escobar, Kelvim

If he pitches like he did in 2006, he'll at least have a .500 record(12-12) in 2007

1/14/2007

Ethier, A

Should see 450 AB in 2007

1/14/2007

Feliz, Pedro

Feliz is at a career plateau.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Fielder, Prince

At 25, Fielder has the skills and pedigree to post good HR totals.  Project him to have 90 R, 100 RBI, and 34 HR in 2007.

1/14/2007

Figgins, Chone

At this point, Figgins is more likely to repeat his 2006 numbers than to make any major improvements.  Use 2006 actuals

1/14/2007

Floyd, Gavin

Move to AL Central favorites could help him reach his potential.  Project 160 IP

1/14/2007

Francis, Jeff

Project 220 IP as this 25 year old is entering his prime years and has a better supporting cast in 2007

1/14/2007

Francoeur, Jeff

At 23, there is a lot of upside to Francoeur, based on his first two MLB seasons.  Set his BA to .280, Runs to 93, and SB to 4

1/14/2007

Freel, Ryan

Is there a chance Ryan Freel gets 550 AB this year?  He loses a little luster by only qualifying in the OF.  Use 2006 stats for now

1/14/2007

Furcal, Rafael

Furcal's speed at SS makes him extremely desirable.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Gagne, Eric

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Garcia, Freddy

A move to NL should improve his ERA.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Garciaparra, Nomar

If Nomar stays healthy, look for him to repeat his 2006 numbers

1/14/2007

Garko, Ryan

Starting 1B for CLE this year.  Should see 500 AB

1/14/2007

Garland, Jon

In his prime age, and he gets a lot of run support.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Garza, M

Project 150 IP for MIN 4th starter

1/14/2007

German, Esteban

Should get around 320 AB this year

1/14/2007

Giambi, Jason

At 36, Giambi is unlikely to improve upon his 2006 campaign.  Reducing HR to 34.

1/14/2007

Glaus, Troy

At 31, Troy Glaus is at his plateau.  Using 2 yr avg.

1/14/2007

Glavine, Tom

Glavine is old but consisten.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Gload, Ross

Should get 240 AB

1/14/2007

Gomes, Jonny

Gomes started 2006 on a tear, but was ice cold after All-Star break and ended up needing shoulder surgey.  Use a 2 yr avg and modify based upon his spring performance

1/14/2007

Gomez, Chris

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Gonzalez, Adrian

Adrian should see 500+ AB in SD this year

1/14/2007

Gonzalez, Al

Reds will use him in a utility role

1/14/2007

Gonzalez, Alex S

Pirates will use him in a utility role

1/14/2007

Gonzalez, Edgar

Use 2006 stats until spring training unfolds

1/14/2007

Gorzelanny, Tom

Project 160 IP

1/14/2007

Granderson, Curtis

Entering prime age range.  He could postbetter numbers in 2006.  Project 22 HR, 10 SB, 95 R, and .265 BA

1/14/2007

Guerrero, Vladimir

At 30, Vlad's aggressive style is starting to takes its toll.  His offseason didn't require surgery, but keep an eye on his knees.  Use 3 yr avg and adjust his projections according to his spring training reports.

1/14/2007

Guillen, Carlos

When healthy, Guillen puts up some really nice numbers, that often get overlooked.  At 32, he is likely to hit the DL once next year.  Project 15 HR, 90 R, 80 RBI, 10 SB, and .302 BA

1/14/2007

Hafner, Travis

Hafner should be able to repeat his numbers from 2006; however, he is an injury risk.  Using 2006 actuals as his initial 2007 projections

1/14/2007

Hall, Bill

Entering his prime years, Bill Hall should be garaunteed to get his 500+ ABs without all of the past turmoil.  Bump his BA to .281 and SB 13.

1/14/2007

Halladay, Roy

Halladay is probably the 2nd best pitcher in AL.  I like him to win 17 in 2007

1/14/2007

Hamels, C

Project 180 IP for the young ace in the making.

1/14/2007

Harang, Aaron

Harang had career year in 2006.  Look for his stats to fall off slightly.  Use 2yr avg

1/14/2007

Haren, Danny

Haren was underrated in 2006, he won't be in 2007.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Hawpe, Brad

At 27 with 3 years of MLB experience, Hawpe is primed for a career year.  Project him with 600 AB at his 2006 pace.

1/14/2007

Helms, Wes

Project 500 AB

1/14/2007

Helton, Todd

Helton has been on a steady decline since 2004.  Injuries have slowed Helton, but he still puts up respectable numbers.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Hennessey, Brad

Project 160 IP

1/14/2007

Hernandez, Felix

Look for King Felix to 200 IP this year.  He should finish with 14 W in 2007 as well

1/14/2007

Hernandez, Livan

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Hernandez, Orlando

With the age of the Mets pitching staff, look to their minor leagues for future callups.

1/14/2007

Hernandez, Ramon

A solid pick at C, and I expect similar numbers in 2007, if he can stay healthy.

1/14/2007

Hillenbrand, Shea

A move to LAA will improve his BA.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Hirsh, J

Will be 5th starter for COL and 160 IP

1/14/2007

Hoffman, Trevor

Even at 40, he continues to dominate.  How much longer can he go?  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Holliday, Matt

At 27, it's prime time for Holliday, and hitting in Coors field doesn't hurt.  Colorado could be returning to the offensive juggernaut of the 1990's.  Look for him to put up similar numbers to his 2006 campaign

1/14/2007

Howard, Ryan

He is in prime years; however, it will be hard for him to reproduce his MVP 2006 season.  Reducing BA to his 2-yr avg of .301

1/14/2007

Hudson, Tim

Look for Hudson to rebound slightly in 2007.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Huff, Aubrey

A move to Baltimore and a improved lineup should help Huff return to form.  Use 3 yr avg, but expect some upside

1/14/2007

Hunter, Torii

At 32, there's not much more Hunter can do, but this is a walk year, so he could have a season similar to 2002.  Use 3 yr avg for initial 2007 projections,and adjust them upwards, if he has a great spring.

1/14/2007

Iannetta, C

Look for Iannetta to get 250 AB behind Torrealba and Lopez

1/14/2007

Ibanez, Raul

At 34, Ibanez is at a career plateau.  He has been consistenly underrated his entire career,so be leary of magazines that want to over compensate.  I'll use his 2 yr avg as his 2007 projections

1/14/2007

Igawa, Kei

4th Starter for NYY could be a solid fantasy player

1/14/2007

Inge, Brandon

Inge found a power stroke in 2006, which made him a great late round draft pick.  I'll use his 2 yr avg to keep his value in check for 2007.  I really don't want a .250 hitter on my team anyway, unless he is a really late draft pick.

1/14/2007

Iwamura, Akinori

Should get 500 AB

1/14/2007

Jackson, Conor

Jackson should see 575 AB this year

1/14/2007

Jacobs, Mike

Jacobs has some upside,but he will still be a late round pick.

1/14/2007

James, Chuck

If healthy, project 180 IP

1/14/2007

Jenks, Bobby

Jenks should have another good fantasy season as the closer for the CWS

1/14/2007

Jennings, Jason

Moving to ARI from COL is worth at least an 11-11 record in 2007

1/14/2007

Jeter, Derek

Jeter had monster season in 2006; however, he will likely have more power in 2007.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Johnson, Josh

He could improve, but its always risky picking sophomore pitchers.  Project 190 IP but with an ERA of 3.553

1/14/2007

Johnson, Nick

Nick Johnson stayed relatively healthy in 2006, and his numbers finally caught up to his potential.  With health always being an issue, I'm tempted to use his 2 yr avg, but until Spring Training is done, I'll use his 2006 actual stats for 2007 projec

1/14/2007

Johnson, Randy

A move to AL may improve his ERA, if he can stay healthy.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Johnson, Reed

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Jones, Andruw

Andruw Jones has hit his plateau.  At age 30, he'll likely reproduce his All-Star 2006 campaign

1/14/2007

Jones, Chipper

Chipper Jones was having a superb year in 2006, then he got hurt.  Hisinjury risk is too high at age 35 to use anything more than his 2 yr avg for 2007 projections.

1/14/2007

Jones, Jacque

Chicago was good to Jacques Jones in 2006, and with their improved 2007 lineup, I see no reason why he can't maintain the status quo.

1/14/2007

Karstens, J

Project 160 IP as Yankees 5th starter

1/14/2007

Kazmir, Scott

If Kazmir stays healthy, he could be a top 5 pitcher in 2007

1/14/2007

Kearns, Austin

At the prime age of 27 and with 5 years of experience, this could be a breakout candidate.  If Kearns can stay healthy, he may have a career year in 2007, but until I see him in spring, I'll use his 2006 stats for estimates.

1/14/2007

Kim, Byung-Hyun

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Kinsler, Ian

Kinsler has some good upside, if he can stay healthy in 2007.  Project 550 AB

1/14/2007

Klesko, Ryan

Injuries will determine Klesko's worth, use 3 yr avg 

1/14/2007

Konerko, Paul

Konerko was overshadowed by many last year, but he had another great season.  At 31, he is likely going to keep on his current pace.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Kouzmanoff, K

Should get 450 AB as SDG starting 3B

1/14/2007

Kuo, Hong-Chih

Should see 160 IP as 5th starter for LAD

1/14/2007

Lackey, John

John Lackey is an innings eater.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Lamb, Mike

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

LaRoche, Adam

Adam Laroche is a great candidate for having a career year.  He has 3 years of experience and is 27 years old.  Project himto have 575 AB at his 2006 pace.

1/14/2007

Lee, Cliff

Lee and the Indians should bounce back in 2007.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Lidge, Brad

Was 2006 an aboration?  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Lidle, Cory

Lidle died in an offseason accident.

1/14/2007

Lilly, Ted

Lilly could have a down year in 2007.  Use 3 yr avg to account for injury risk

1/14/2007

Liriano, Francisco

Reduce IP to 60.  MN may hold him out the entire year.

1/14/2007

Lo Duca, Paul

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Loewen, A

Set IP to 160

1/14/2007

Lofton, Kenny

If he stays healthy he could improve Texas lineup, but his SB totals are likely to drop.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Logan, Nook

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Lopez, Rodrigo

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Lowe, Derek

Lowe has leveled off, use 2 yr avg for 2007

1/14/2007

Lowell, Mike

Lowell is a solid play as part of the BOS lineup.  Use 2006 actuals for now

1/14/2007

Lowry, Noah

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Lugo, Julio

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Maddux, Greg

Maddux in SD for one more 14 W season.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Maholm, Paul

Could reach 200 IP in 2007

1/14/2007

Marquis, Jason

Marquis was a roller coaster last season, and Larussa helped inflate his ERA by letting him take a few extra lump during several blowouts.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Martinez, Pedro

Pedro will miss the first half of 2007, so you can't expect much more than what he posted in 2006

1/14/2007

Matsui, Kazuo

Project 475 in friendly Coors field for the once prized Kaz Matsui

1/14/2007

Matsuzaka, Daisuke

Japanese Star in his prime who could have a big impact in the AL East.  Project 12W, 4 ERA, 1.25 WHIP

1/14/2007

Matthews, Gary

Don't expect Matthews to top his career year from 2006.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Mauer, Joe

Mauer is a stud, but his value strongly depends on his BA.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

McCann, Brian

McCann's 2006 numbers were awesomefor a catcher,but I'm reluctant to say he can reproduce them.  Set his R to 71, HR to 19 and BA to .305

1/14/2007

McClung, Seth

Will supposedly start the season as TB Closer.  Good luck getting more than 15 SV from him in 2007

1/14/2007

Meche, Gil

Meche finally managed to stay healthy in 2006, and turned in his best season to date.  Use his 2006 actuals for now

1/14/2007

Mench, Kevin

Mench has upsde, but has struggled to stay healthy in past.  use 2 yr Avg

1/14/2007

Millwood, Kevin

Use 2006 Stats for now

1/14/2007

Miner, Z

Should get 165 IP in 2007

1/14/2007

Molina, Bengie

Bengie Molina is a solid play at catcher.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Monroe, Craig

Monroe is a solid hitter with little upside.  His BA and HR always seem to be polar opposites.  Use 2 yr avg to identify his 2007 value 

1/14/2007

Morneau, Justin

At 25, Morneau reached his potential early.  It'll be tough to improve upon his 2006 numbers, since there is no protection for him in MN, so use his 2006 actuals as your initial projectionsand see if Spring Training gives us any indicators of where t

1/14/2007

Morris, Matt

Seems to be on the decline.  Keep 2006 actuals for now

1/14/2007

Mussina, Mike

Mussina has already seen his best days, but being a Yankee will get him 14 W.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Myers, Brett

Myers is in his prime, but can PHI support him.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Nady, Xavier

Nady should benefit from getting 575 AB at 2006 pace

1/14/2007

Napoli, M

If Napoli gets 350 AB, he could reach 20 HR in 2007

1/14/2007

Nathan, Joe

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Nolasco, R

He should get 180 IP in 2007

1/14/2007

Norton, Greg

If TB decides to go with youth movement,look for Norton's role and numbers to decrease.  Set HR to 12, BA to .279

1/14/2007

Olsen, Scott

Olsen is another young gun in FLA, but he seems a little more risky than Josh Johnson at this point.  Project 195 IP

1/14/2007

Ordonez, Magglio

Maggs returned to form in 2006, after having a lot of injury problems in 2004 and 2005.  Look for him to repeat his 2006 performance, if he can continue to stay healthy.

1/14/2007

Ortiz, David

Use 3yr avg to reduce HR totals to 47 while improving BA to .295

1/14/2007

Oswalt, Roy

Oswalt is still one of the top pitchers in NL.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Overbay, Lyle

At 30, Overbay is at a career plateau, so he'll likely hit his 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Padilla, Vicente

Padilla was healthy in 2006, so he became a great late round pick last year.  What are the odds he'll be healthy in 2007?  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Papelbon, Jonathan

If I were the BOS GM, I'd leave Papelbon as the closer!  Changed projections for a 160 IP starter

1/14/2007

Patterson, Corey

Patterson has plenty of MLB exerience, and he is at the target range for a career year.  If he can keep his head on straight, he'll get the 575 AB he needs to have a career year; however, expect his SB to slip a little.  Set SB to 37 in 575 AB

1/14/2007

Paulino, Ronny

Should drop to a .285 BA in 2007

1/14/2007

Pedroia, Dustin

Should see 400 AB as BOS Starting 2B in 2007

1/14/2007

Pelfrey, M

Should get 140 IP for NYM as 5th/spot starter until Pedro returns

1/14/2007

Penny, Brad

Penny is a solid starter, and he looks to have hit a plateau.  Set W to 15

1/14/2007

Perez, Oliver

Can he regain his confidence in NY?  Use 3 yr Average

1/14/2007

Pettitte, Andy

Pettite loves NY, but at his age, he has little upside.  Use 2006 stats for now.

1/14/2007

Phillips, Brandon

Primed for a career year in a good lineup.

1/14/2007

Piazza, Mike

At 39, Piazza will benefit from the move away from SD and into the AL. He may even have a year similar to Frank Thomas ' 2006.  Since he still qualifies at catcher, he'll likely get a lot interest during the draft.

1/14/2007

Pierre, Juan

Moving to LA shouldn't affect Pierre much in 2007.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Podsednik, Scott

Podsednik should remain at his current performance plateau.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Posada, Jorge

Posada is old, but consistent.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Prado, M

Starting 2B for ATL in 2007, project 400 AB

1/14/2007

Pujols, Albert

Pujols is only 27 and he has longer track record of success;however, there are some slight concerns about injury risk.  Using three year avg for initial 2007 projections, which still makes him the best hitter in baseball!

1/14/2007

Quentin, Carlos

Starting Right Fielder should get 475 AB in 2007

1/14/2007

Quinlan, Robb

Should see 260 AB as a bench player

1/14/2007

Radke, Brad

Retired.

1/14/2007

Ramirez, Aramis

With the healthy return of Derrek Lee and the addition of Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez could have a career year.  Using 2006 actuals as his initial projections for 2007, but bumping HR to 40.

1/14/2007

Ramirez, Hanley

With shoulder problems lingering from his 2006 winter league exploits, it is likely his R(110), HR (14) and SB(45) may dip during his sophomore year.

1/14/2007

Ramirez, Horacio

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Ramirez, Manny

At 35, there isn't much room for improvement with Manny Ramirez.  He is becoming more of an injury risk these last few years, so use his 2006 actuals for his initial 2007 projections.

1/14/2007

Redmond, Mike

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Renteria, Edgar

Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Rios, Alexis

Rios is entering his prime age with a few years of experience under his belt.  He should get 600 AB with stats accumulated at his 2006 pace.

1/14/2007

Rivera, Juan

With a broken leg to start 2007, His prime ear got derailed.  I'm not sure he'll even play this year.  Use 3 yr avg until more details surface about his leg injury.

1/14/2007

Roberts, Brian

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Roberts, Dave

Roberts has always had a problem staying healthy.  Being 35 doesn't help his case.  Use 2 yr avg.

1/14/2007

Robertson, Nate

Robertson had a career year in 2006.  Use 2 yr avg as Tigers are unlikely to sweep through AL Central in 2007

1/14/2007

Rodriguez, Alex

I'm sure there are 500 MLB hitters who trade their career year's for one of AROD's disappointing season.  At 31, he still has plenty of big hits in him.  Use 2 yr average to project a bounce back year to this future HOF.

1/14/2007

Rolen, Scott

Rolen is solid, and if he stays healthy, he should be able to reproduce his numbers from 2006.

1/14/2007

Rollins, Jimmy

Rollins had a great 2006, but I think his HR total is a little too much to expect in 2007.  Use his 2 yr avg stats

1/14/2007

Ross, Dave

Ross displayed unbelievable power for a platoon catcher in 2006; however, he is unlikely to repeat the feat in 2007.  Set HR to 15, which still makes hiw useful in leagues requiring two catchers

1/14/2007

Ryan, BJ

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Sabathia, CC

He is in his prime, and CLE looks to have the team to support his efforts.  Project 16 W for 2007

1/14/2007

Saito, Takashi

Saito starts 2007 as the LAD closer, but he will need to pitch well to keep the job all year long

1/14/2007

Sanchez, Anibal

Project 160 IP

1/14/2007

Sanchez, Freddy

Freddy had a career year in 2006.  Use 2 yr avg to return him to his expected fantasy worth

1/14/2007

Santana, Johan

The best pitcher in baseball.  He is in his prime, so I will just use his 2006 actuals for now, but give him an extra win for 2007

1/14/2007

Schilling, Curt

At 40, Schilling could see a dramtic decline.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Scott, Luke

Project 250 AB

1/14/2007

Sexson, Richie

At 32, he is at a career plateau.  Use his 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Shealy, Ryan

Should get 500 AB in KC

1/14/2007

Sheets, Ben

If Sheets can stay healthy, MIL will have a very good rotation.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Shelton, Chris

Shelton is at the prime age, but will he get a chance to play and reach 550 AB?  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Shields, J

Project 180 IP

1/14/2007

Sizemore, Grady

At 24, he is one of the top leadoff hitters in the game.  With 2 years of nearly identical stats under his belt, I think he is a sure bet for 2007, and may still have some upside.  I'm more conservative than most, so I'll use his 2 yr avg to rank him

1/14/2007

Smoltz, John

Smoltz is due to decline soon.  Project a reduction to 200 IP in 2007

1/14/2007

Snell, Ian

Ian may be able to add a few more innings and get his ERA down to 4.41 in 2007

1/14/2007

Snyder, Cory

Having the starting job shoul net him 400 AB in 2007

1/14/2007

Soriano, Alfonso

Soriano is only 29, and he has the drive to be in Cooperstown.  A move to Chicago should allow him to post similar numbers to his outstanding 2006 campaign, but not sure he'll reach 40-40 again.  Set HR to 40 and SB to 39

1/14/2007

Suppan, Jeff

He's an innings eater, but not worth 44 million over 4 years!  Use 2006 actuals

1/14/2007

Suzuki, Ichiro

Ichiro is extremely consistent with a chance for upside.  He can be very streaky at times.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Swisher, Nick

The loss of Frank Thomas may reduce his chances of repeating, but he is entering his prime.  Up BA to .266 and give him 100 RBI

1/14/2007

Tankersley, T

Will likely start season as Marlins closer.  Set SV to 20 for now

1/14/2007

Taveras, Willy

Look for Taveras to improve with a garaunteed job in CF and Leadoff spot.  Project 620 AB

1/14/2007

Teahen, Mark

After a slow start, Teahen ripped up the AL.  Tough to say if he can repeat his 2006 performance, so let spring trainingplay out before revising projections

1/14/2007

Teixeira, Mark

Teixeira had a solid 2006 season, but he did not earn his 1st round value.  At 27, he is in the prime of his career and should produce at a higher level.  I  got burnt selecting him 4th overall last year, so I'm using his 2 yr avg for my initial 2007

1/14/2007

Tejada, Miguel

At 30, Tejada is still one of the best shortstops in the majors.  Use his 3 yr avg since he has been in Baltimore for three years, and his number in each category of pretty wide ranges.

1/14/2007

Thames, Marcus

Thames had a career year as a role player in 2006.  At 30, you can't expect him to improve much.  Ill use his 2006 stats,minus 6 HR for my 2007 projections.

1/14/2007

Theriot, Ryan

Should see 250 AB, unless some of the veterans suffer injuries.

1/14/2007

Thomas, Frank

At 39, expecting a repeat of 2006 would be foolish.  His move to Toronto hurts the A's more than it helps him.  Reducing HR to 32 and RBI to 104.

1/14/2007

Thome, Jim

At the age of 37, Thome is likely to slow down, which could impact the entire CWS team.  Due to health risks and potential for decline, set HR to 37 and BA to .273

1/14/2007

Thompson, Mark

Project 170 IP

1/14/2007

Trachsel, Steve

Look for a decline from Traschel who is now 37.  Use 3 yr avg

1/14/2007

Tracy, Chad

At 26, Tracy is a good candidate for a breakout year. He posted good numbers in his sophomore year, and the Arizona lineup is improving with an influx of new talent.  Use 2 yr avg until Spring Training updates can be used to alter projections.

1/14/2007

Tulowitzki, T

Should be in a platoon with Barmes for 2007

1/14/2007

Turnbow, Derrick

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Uggla, Dan

At 26, Uggla's rookie season may actually be his career year.  He is an ideal candidate for a sophomore slump!  Set his HR total to 20 and be grateful if he hits that many in 2007.

1/14/2007

Upton, BJ

Should see 500 AB in TB this season.

1/14/2007

Uribe, Jose

He may miss entire 2007 season due to a court trial in Dominican Republic.

1/14/2007

Utley, Chase

Utley is at his prime age, and he is clearly the top 2B, now that Soriano has moved to the OF.  He has been consistent the last two years, so use his 2 yr avg for 2007

1/14/2007

Valverde, Jose

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Vargas, Claudio

Use 2 yr avg for the likely 5th starter in MIL.

1/14/2007

Verlander, Justin

Impressive rookie campaign, but Idon't think Tigers will be as good in 2007.  Project 14 W

1/14/2007

Vizquel, Omar

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Wagner, Billy

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Wainwright, Adam

Project 150 as STL 4th starter in 2007

1/14/2007

Wang, Chien-Ming

Use 2 yr Avg

1/14/2007

Ward, Duane

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Washburn, Jarrod

Set W to 10 for 2007

1/14/2007

Weaver, Jered

Remember Zach Duke?  Project 200 IP, but inflate his ERA to 3.24 and set W to 14

1/14/2007

Webb, Brandon

Brandon Webb is in his prime years, and he will likely have a career year in 2007.  Bump his 2006 Win Total up to 18 for 2007

1/14/2007

Wells, Vernon

Vernon just signed a huge deal in the off-season, so there is a chance he'll get comfortable again and slip to his 2004-2005 plateau.  I'll give him the benefit of the doubt for now, and use his 2006 actual stats as his 2007 projections.

1/14/2007

Westbrook, Jake

Jake Westbrook has almost identical stats the last two years, so use 2 yr avg for 2007

1/14/2007

Wigginton, Ty

Expect Wigginton's HR total to dip in 2007.  Set HR to 17 and RBI to 68

1/14/2007

Williams, Woody

Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Willingham, Josh

As a player who qualified at catcher in 2006, he had great numbers.  As an OF, he'll find a home during the middle of your draft.

1/14/2007

Willis, Dontrelle

The Ace of FLA's young rotation should rebound in 2007, if he can get past his offseason troubles.  Use 2 yr avg

1/14/2007

Wolf, Randy