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Initial 2007 Fantasy Baseball Projections
Posted by
rotorank
on
Sunday, January 14, 2007 (CST)
This is the list of players that I modified to make my initial set of projections for the 2007 season. My projections are updated every two weeks until the end of the season based on spring training information and transactions.
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Date |
Player |
Notes |
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1/14/2007 |
Abreu, Bobby |
A full year in NY could give Abreu some upside. Use 2 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Alou, Moises |
Alou can still hit, when he is healthy. I'm not sure why the NYM added Alou with Milledge waiting in the wings. His actual stats from 2006 look like a good place to start in 2007, although I won't draft him unless he slides a few rounds. |
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1/14/2007 |
Arroyo, Bronson |
Arroyo loves coming to NL in 2006. Use 2 yr avg, since NL hitters won't be fooled as much in 2007 |
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1/14/2007 |
Astacio, Ezequiel |
Project 160 IP |
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1/14/2007 |
Atkins, Garrett |
At 27 with 4 years of experience under his belt, 2006 may be a indicator of bigger and better things to come. No one expected his power to improve so much last year, so he was a late round difference maker for many teams. Use 2 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Aurilia, Rich |
At the age of 35, moving back to SF from CIN is not going to help him repeat his great 2006. Use 2 yr numbers as the baseline for 2007 and revisit these projections after spring training. |
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1/14/2007 |
Bagwell, Jeff |
Retired |
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1/14/2007 |
Baker, Jeff |
Atkins career year in 2006 has forced COL to decide if they want to change Baker's position. Project 325 AB |
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1/14/2007 |
Baker, Scott |
Should see 150 IP as 5th starter for MIN |
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1/14/2007 |
Baldelli, Rocco |
Use 3 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Bard, Josh |
With Piazza gone, he'll likely get 350 AB |
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1/14/2007 |
Barfield, Joshua |
Barfield has a lot of upside with a move to CLE. Project 580 AB |
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1/14/2007 |
Barrett, Michael |
Use 3 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Bartlett, Jason |
Should see 450 AB in 2007 |
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1/14/2007 |
Bay, Jason |
Jason Bay is hitting his prime years. Project 600 AB, .295 BA, 39 HR, and 13 SB. |
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1/14/2007 |
Beckett, Josh |
Beckett had a solid season in 2006, but his ERA predictably rose in his move to the AL. Use 2 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Bedard, Erik |
Bedard could get another win or two, if he gets 220 IP |
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1/14/2007 |
Beltran, Carlos |
With the current talent on the NYM, there is no reason why Beltran cannot reproduce his numbers from 2006. |
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1/14/2007 |
Beltre, Adrian |
At 28, Beltre still could post big numbers. I think his 2006 numbers are a good start. Maybe I'll see something during spring training to warrant making some sort of adjustment. |
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1/14/2007 |
Benitez, Armando |
Use 3 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Berkman, Lance |
Berkman is coming off a career year in 2006, and the addition of Carlos Lee should keep him an All-Star. Using 3 yr avg for HR(33) and BA(.308) since his t\past trend is to drop about 10 HR after a 40 HR season. |
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1/14/2007 |
Betemit, Wilson |
Slotted to be the starting 3B in 2007, expect Betemit to get 550 AB |
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1/14/2007 |
Biggio, Craig |
Biggio still has some power, but his BA may hurt you. Use 2006 Actuals |
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1/14/2007 |
Blake, Casey |
With Marte in the mix, Blake will see less time. Reduce HR to 14, R to 53, RBI to 58, and BA to .272 |
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1/14/2007 |
Blanton, Joe |
With Zito gone, the rest of the Oakland staff will have more pressure on them. Use 2yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Bonderman, Jeremy |
Bonderman keeps improving with age. At 24, he has a great future if he continues to improve. Project 230 IP for 2007 |
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1/14/2007 |
Bonds, Barry |
At his age, Bonds is merely playing so that he can become the temporary HR king. Look for AROD and/or Pujols to pass him. Set his HR total to 22 (the amount eeded for the record) and expect him to retire. |
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1/14/2007 |
Bonser, B |
Project 180 IP as MIN 2nd starter |
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1/14/2007 |
Borowski, Joe |
No longer a closer. Set Saves to 10 for 2007 |
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1/14/2007 |
Botts, Jason |
Project 500 AB |
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1/14/2007 |
Broussard, Ben |
He'll get his 400 AB and put up his usual numbers. Use 3 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Broxton, Jonathan |
Potential Closer Candidate, If Saito Flaters. Set to 10 Saves |
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1/14/2007 |
Buchholz, Taylor |
Use 170 IP for 2007 projections. Do not lower his ERA, since he is going to Coors. |
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1/14/2007 |
Buehrle, Mark |
With the pressure off, Buehrle should return to his past form. Use 3 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Burke, Chris |
Should get 550 AB as starting CF for HOU |
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1/14/2007 |
Burnett, AJ |
Use 2 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Burrell, Pat |
At 31, it's safe to say that Burrell's career has been a disappointment to fantasy owners and Phillies fans. Use his 2 yr avg and keep him at his current plateau |
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1/14/2007 |
Bush, Dave |
He is in his prime age, and the Brewers have a decent offense. Use 2006 for now |
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1/14/2007 |
Byrnes, Eric |
At 31, there is no guessing if Byrnes will duplicate his 2006 numbers, or revert back to his 2005 form. Use 3 yr avg to make your initial 2007 projections, and watch how the spring unfolds for Arizona. |
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1/14/2007 |
Cabrera, Daniel |
Project 180 IP for this talented strikeout pitcher in 2007 |
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1/14/2007 |
Cabrera, Miguel |
At 24, Cabrera could be the next Albert Pujols. Use his 2 yr avg stats, but boost his HR total to 35 |
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1/14/2007 |
Cabrera, Orlando |
Use 2 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Cain, Matt |
Everyone loves Matt Cain and his stuff. The addition of Zito will help keep the pressure off of him. Project 210 IP |
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1/14/2007 |
Cameron, Mike |
Mike Cameron stayed healthy in 2006, and he had his usual 20-20 type season. Noreason to see his stats to change much in 2007. |
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1/14/2007 |
Cano, Robinson |
Cano has a lot of upside. Use 2 yr avg to start 2007 |
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1/14/2007 |
Cantu, Jorge |
Use 2 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Capuano, Chris |
Use 2 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Carpenter, Chris |
Carpenter is a top NL pitcher, but he has some risk. Use 3 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Castillo, Luis |
Use 2006 actuals for now |
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1/14/2007 |
Castro, Juan |
Should see 400 AB in super utility role |
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1/14/2007 |
Chavez, Endy |
Use 3 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Cirillo, Jeff |
Use 2 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Clemens, Roger |
Will he return in 2007? Your guess is as good as mine. |
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1/14/2007 |
Coffey, Todd |
Coffey gets another chance to e the man in CIN. Project 30 SV |
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1/14/2007 |
Contreras, Jose |
Contreras will likely decline in 2007. Project 180 IP |
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1/14/2007 |
Corcoran, Tim |
Project 160 IP |
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1/14/2007 |
Cordero, Chad |
Will Cordero return to elite form in 2007? Use 2 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Cordero, Francisco |
Use 2 yr avg |
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1/14/2007 |
Coste, C |
With Lieberthal gone, Coste should get 450 AB in 2007 |
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1/14/2007 |
Crawford, Carl |
Crawford is entering his prime age, but don't expect a power explosion. His 2 yr avg will probably be accurate with some modest upside potential in runs scored and batting average |
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1/14/2007 |
Crede, Joe |
Crede had his career year in 2006. He will likely be overrated by several forecasters this year. He has burned me too often in the past, so I'll use his 2 yr avg to project his 2007 campaign |
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1/14/2007 |
Crisp, Coco |
Crisp has huge upside if he can stay healthy. Project 600 AB at 2006 pace. |
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1/14/2007 |
Cruz, Nelson |
Project 500 AB |
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1/14/2007 |
Cuddyer, Michael |
Cuddyear had a career year in 2006, making him another one of those late round 3B draft bargains that were available last year. I'll be more conservative with his 2007 numbers, R(85), RBI(90), HR(20) |
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1/14/2007 |
Damon, Johnny |
At 34, Damon is likely to slow down a little. Use 3 yr avg for 2007 projections |
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1/14/2007 |
Davis, Doug |
Use 3 yr | | | |